Big Picks Energy: Week 6
10/03/2024
By Chris Marler
Big Picks Energy is back for spooky season.
Let’s kick off the month of October with some wins. We had a good week last Saturday, 4-2 in the Alabama-Georgia picks. If it wasn’t for Lane Kiffin and Ole Miss ******* the bed against Kentucky, we’d have a lot more money for Halloween decorations.
Might be time to focus on the games instead of social media, Kiff, but I digress. Anyway, get ready with me as I attempt to bankrupt our bookies.
Tennessee to score first & Tennessee -7 first half vs Arkansas
Tennessee has scored first in 33 of 41 games under Josh Heupel. I’ve told y’all repeatedly it’s a system play that we will run until it fails. They’re on the road at night in Fayetteville, but the Vols are coming off a bye week. I like Arkansas on script, but I don’t love Taylen Green’s ability to hold onto the football. I think Tennessee takes both of these.
Missouri +3.5 vs Texas A&M
Missouri is 4-1 under Eli Drinkwitz coming off a bye week. The only loss came against No. 1 Georgia in Athens last year. The Aggies are good at home, and I think Marcel Reed is going to be a star at some point. Just not yet. We’ve already seen that Texas A&M can lose to Top 10 caliber teams at home in Kyle Field. I don’t know if they’ll lose, but I do like the Tigers to cover the 3.5 points with an extra week of rest and preparation.
Clemson first score AND moneyline vs Florida State -165
Clemson has been on a tear since being embarrassed by Georgia in the opener. They have returned to the Trevor Lawrence days in terms of scoring and scoring early. Clemson leads the country in first quarter scoring offense at 18.3 ppg. I like them to at least score first despite being on the road in Tallahassee. I also like them to win outright because of this super-secret stat I found about Florida State.
They suck.
That’s it. That’s the statistical analysis. Go Tigers.
Georgia -10 second half vs Auburn
Georgia has shown over and over again that they are a second half team over the last few years. The slow starts have been concerning, but the Dawgs have been incredible at second half adjustments and putting up big numbers on offense. So far this season 68.9 percent of Georgia’s overall points have been scored in the second half including 80.2 percent in games against Power Four opponents. They’ve also allowed less than 40 percent of their overall points this season in the second half including only one touchdown through four games.
That’s all for this week as we are going to try and keep it simple with our picks. Make sure you stay tuned and follow along on our social media this Saturday for more picks throughout the weekend.