ESPN’s FPI predicts Week 5

ESPN FPI updated their analytics and projections to simulate the percentage odds to win for every SEC game in the Week 5 slate. Five of the six games around the league this week feature a conference game while only LSU plays a non-conference opponent.

Here’s how the computers think this week’s games play out.

Kentucky @ 6 Ole Miss

FPI Prediction: Ole Miss 90.5%

21 Oklahoma @ Auburn

FPI Prediction: Oklahoma 57.4%

Arkansas vs 24 Texas A&M (in Dallas)

FPI Prediction: Texas A&M 56%

Mississippi State @ 1 Texas

FPI Prediction: Texas 98.1%

2 UGA @ 4 Alabama

FPI Prediction: Alabama 66%

South Alabama @ 14 LSU

FPI Prediction: LSU 78.5%

Perhaps the biggest surprise on the list is the model having Alabama being a 66% chance to win against UGA. The game is being played in Tuscaloosa, but Georgia has been the betting favorite since the line was initially released this summer. FPI hasn’t been too high on the Dawgs since their close call to Kentucky a few weeks ago. Following the, 13-12, win in Lexington, the model projected Georgia to lose three regular season games to Alabama, Texas, and Ole Miss.

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